Cristián Gárate

I opened the blog with the hope to contribute with my perspectives to the common issues of our present societies.

Friday, July 30, 2010

BICENTENNIAL CELEBRATION CHILE: THE SAME PROCEDURE AS LAST 200 YEARS?


THE URGENT SOCIAL COHESION AGENDA

During the last 5 years I saw in Germany the sketch “Dinner for One” during new year´s celebrations. I imagined a "Dinner for Chile" in case of the main celebration dinner for the 200 celebration of the independence held at the Palace of Government (La Moneda) with all our politicians of past and present governments.

Mr. President : The same procedure as last 200 years, my Gordi?
Ms. ex President : The same procedure as every year, my Tatán!


The lines that follow are the original in order to avoid any wrongful interpretations.


After the dinner, Miss Sophie indicates to a very drunk Mr. James that she wishes to retire to bed, to which James responds:
James: By the way, the same procedure as last year, Miss Sophie?
Miss Sophie (delightedly): The same procedure as every year, James!
James: Well, I'll do my very best!


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dinner_for_One






Trans-governmental failures in Chile: Just an Example
After two years have elapsed from the inauguration of the new master plan for public transportation in Santiago, denominated Transantiago, significant service malfunctions have evidenced a chain of structural errors committed by government officers in the decision taking process.

Indeed the whole process has resulted in one of the most paradigmatic cases that can be presently studied in Latin-America concerning the concept of “government failure” with vast economic, political and social externalities caused in the capital city of Santiago. The problems caused by the wrong implementation of this new transportation scheme have negatively affected the image of the country, the micro and macroeconomic output, the life standard of the population and had a negative impact in the public perception of government coalition officers pertaining to the last two periods, namely: the Lagos administration (first socialist government after the dictatorship to attain presidency); and the Bachellet administration (first socialist women leader to attain the presidency).

The new government of Mr. Piñera came to power with a battery of “neo liberal weapons of mass satisfaction” aiming at correcting technical, procedural and managerial failures observed or newly discovered in different areas with high social impact, such as: transportation, health, education, infrastructure, R & D and others.

Is it too early to ask?

Despite the fact that the new installed government has been struggling against the urgencies that followed the 27/2 Earthquake, no specific programs have been so far announced nor any targeted measures implemented in order to correct the market failures in the areas aforementioned.

Following a consented economic standpoint, governmental policies designed in a rather blind fashion by the Lagos administration and the Bachellet administration targeted to improve the efficiency of determined sectors i.e. transportation, health, education and R & D. In theory a market failure can be conceptualized as an allocation of resources that does not conform to the Pareto optimal, based on different causes such as market power, monopoly, imperfect information, negative externalities, public goods or spill over effects.

In the case of the Chilean transportation master plan, the basis of intervention policy was to improve the market performance, reducing the inefficiencies caused by a extremely unsafe, chaotic, highly polluting, unequal and politically risky combination that included buses, metro and trains in the city of Santiago, as allowed in many sectors of the economy by the Chicago Boys during the Pinochet era. In fact the proposed targets of the new plan as posted by the past government were to encourage the use of public transport; to enhace the the quality of public transportation by eliminating the on-the-street competition and replacing the existing bus fleet; diminish air pollution and sound pollution levels by reducing the number of buses from over 7,000 to about 4,600; and reducing travel times.

Unfortunately, the effect of a deficiently conceived transportation master plan did not produce the objective of substantially maximizing social welfare. Conversely, the policies adopted have forced the Chilean economy to incur in costs starting from an ex ante transportation situation, were market failures did exist, but could have ex post been improved with a much more efficient resource allocation. As a result, it caused an increase in government expenses, a sacrifice of resources that could have been otherwise effectively used and has actually reduced social welfare.

The case of Transantiago may empirically demonstrate one of the arguments to explain government failure which is based on politicians or regulators pursuing their private goals which in some circumstances do not coincide with the public goals. In this case the precious virtue of the representative democracy model, tempted politicians from the former administration to position themselves for a potential re-election and presumably made them take wrong choices in the transportation policies, which derived in decreasing social welfare. Further, the fact that the transportation plan produced huge social externalities has raised the issue of commitment problems of the past government, forcing some politicians to demonstrate against the results of the plan approved by the last government and the lack of transparency of the past administration, causing more political division in the coalition that recently lost the elections.

During the last government a parliamentary battle originated in the need to inject huge resources amounting to U$ 290 million to maintain the public transportation system functioning during the first year of wrongful implementation notwithstanding substantial inefficiencies and the necessity to renegotiate contracts with system operators. At present, a new parliamentary battle focuses in the need to incorporate a new regulatory frame to protect transportation users, increase service comfort and inject the incredible yearly amount of U$ 90 million until 2014 to complement the system deficit. Moreover, the allocation of new resources will force present government to negotiate an equal quantity of resources to be distributed on a regional basis.

Public Accountability

Another major issue deals with accountability of the government at different levels that may cause unprecedented economical, legal and political effects in Chile.

The question of government failure in the implementation of a plan is entailing a huge expense for the public budget leads into the question of accountability in its three main forms, namely: a) political accountability; b) public accountability and c) legal accountability. Political accountability derives from institutional methods in order to review governmental activities via questioning, forming parliamentary commissions, forcing government to remove Ministers or high rank officers and at the end public elections, which could derive in a radical change of government. Public accountability concerns other methods of control pertaining to the public service function, such as those exerted in Chile by the Contraloria General de la Republica, which may derive in a revision and control of public accounts including direct spending programs and fiscal expenditures. Finally, most interesting, legal accountability means the actions given to citizens in order to hold liable the State via Civil suits if decisions are taken causing civil damage or even Criminal responsibility if implemented with contravention to penal laws (abuse, corruption, fraud).

The case of governmental failure produced by Transantiago is particularly interesting, since it will now lead to the intervention of the jurisdictional power in the protection of the rights of persons in their civil dimension. Thus, the civil jurisdiction has been activated by a massive sue targeting indemnification of damages caused by the failures arising from the transportation system, which could have unprecedented effects in the assumption of the administrative and civil responsibility of the State before its citizens.

In parallel, as from the failure committed by implementing an efficient transportation system, other master plans have come into public scrutiny targeting the Auge Health Plan for enhancing Health Protection; or the acute discomfort in the Public Education system with a very low response at the level of professors and students according to OECD Pisa comparisons.

Increasing Inequalities

These and other issues are increasing the social despair and triggering unexpected social reactions that could derive in accumulation of anger and violence between social layers. The former, since the last two socialist governments made promises in order to increase the welfare of Chilean people by efficiently applying the huge fiscal surpluses accumulated in the State’s treasury to enhance education, health, minimum wages, pensions, transportation, environment and culture bringing increased social wealth.

In practice, recent information shows that the promises of the last two governments were not on their way to be accomplished, since statistics show an increase in the line of poverty as demonstrated in Casen 2010, with an augment to 15.1% of the population.

http://www.gobiernodechile.cl/especiales/casen-2009-encuesta-de-caracterizacion-socioeconomica-nacional/

Indeed, huge social differences persist among those who have notoriously turned very rich in the last decades and those who maintain a poor or middle class life standard. Plus, they are bound to use a bad transportation system, a defective public health system and must conform to the public education system which has been qualified as highly inequitable and inefficient. All of the above, has been dramatically incremented in the VI, VII and VIII regions of Chile severely struck by the Earthquake. No doubt that these and other differential problems can be characterized as ethically intolerable for a country with budget restrictions and an excess of non targeted public expenditures.

Social Cohesion Agenda

A probable source of the aforementioned ethical problem faced by Chileans relies not only in the increased economical disparities between the population, but also in the lack of cohesion attained by the society as a whole to face sound political solutions to inequalities.

In this sense it results interesting to understand the theoretical concepts entailed in light of Articles 2 and 3 of the Treaty establishing the European Community which state that one of its tasks is to: “promote throughout the Community a harmonious, balanced and sustainable development of economic activities, a high level of employment and of social protection, (and) the raising of the standard of living and quality of life, and economic and social cohesion and solidarity among Member States.” From this theoretical definition two main ideas can be synthesized. The first refers to the dimension of reduction of disparities, discriminations, inequalities and social exclusions. The second idea refers to the strengthening of social bonds, solidarity and social relations.

In fact, in order to reach social cohesion in Chile, which could derive in more harmonious and balanced patterns of human conduct, it would be necessary to encourage the possibility of social interactions which at present are not fluid, since the country has been historically constructed with stratified social layers that function as a virtual caste system. This social order is determined by numerous crass and delicate parameters that are handled by Chilean people in order to produce direct and reverse discriminations that in general impede social mobility. Some of the underlying factors are based on: skin colour, physical traits, family name, country of origin, use of language, clothing, place of residence, transportation method, school and university education, political, religious or sexual orientation and the like features which determine the position of the individual in the Chilean society.

Although the Chilean Constitution abolishes all types of discrimination and conforms to the international standard of equality of treatment, persistent conducts of direct and reverse discrimination are recognizable not only in current legislation, but as underlying customary social rules to determine a stratified social layer that protrudes horizontal social interactions. (See the 30.7.2010 Sentence of the Chilean Constitutional Court abolishing discriminatory treatment in the application of risk factors to adjust prices in services in Private Health Plans)

In this sense, it must be acknowledged that, with good or mediocre results efforts, past governments had been positively directed to implement the so called “Growth with Equity Agenda”.

In order to advance, more efforts are needed in order to focus the present discussion into a “Social Cohesion Agenda”, which could embrace both rethinking of quantitative aspects together with qualitative aspects in the design of long term policies affecting successive coalition governments whether from the right or left. Hence, the discussion of social cohesion policies should include according to ECLAC the following terms: (i) social capital, or the heritage of networks and bonds between the various social actors; (ii) social integration, or people’s access to basic levels of well-being; (iii) social exclusion, or the processes and mechanisms of the accumulated disadvantages that lead to social breakdown and deprivation, and (iv) social ethics, which underline the importance of the community of values and solidarity.

http://www.eclac.org/publicaciones/xml/1/33911/LCG2362i.pdf

http://www.eclac.org/publicaciones/xml/6/13896/lcl2006pe.pdf

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Investigación, Desarrollo e Innovación

Consecuente con mi interés académico y profesional por los temas de innovación, procedí a releer los dos informes emanados del Consejo Nacional de Innovación para la Competitividad, los que revisé anteriormente en varias ocasiones a raíz de mi tesis de doctorado, siendo mi sensación con respecto a su contenido bastante escéptica. Lo anterior, se suma al hecho que, la aplicación efectiva de las medidas I & D + i y sus resultados tienden a cero. En síntesis, un cúmulo de buenas intenciones hasta ahora no claramente materializadas en programas bien enfocados.

Primer Informe CNIC

A mi juicio, el primer informe de Marzo de 2006 contiene un diagnostico efectuado al estilo de médico general, para una patología compleja, que en la realidad requería una reacción rápida con fijación de una estrategia, diseño de medidas puntuales, establecimiento de metas y un sistema de medición de resultados concretos. Es decir, en vez de medico general, hacían faltan cirujanos especializados en la aplicación de tecnología con endoscopía y bisturí laser, para solucionar la patología I & D + i. Me explico, para un especialista en temas de innovación, el diagnóstico chileno está claro desde hace unos 20 años; y no es necesario escribir más que un párrafo para descubrir lo que se ha venido agudizando con respecto a Brasil y a otros países de la región.

Esto es, en palabras del primer informe en Chile: “Sólo el 0,7% del PIB se invierte en investigación y desarrollo, y menos de un tercio de esa cifra proviene de la empresa privada.”

El número de empresas que invierte en I & D + i no llega al millar y su vinculación con instituciones de investigación, tales como universidades u otras, es muy escasa. Añado que, según información de buena fuente, la estadística referida anteriormente y que fue entregada en forma oficial a la OECD no tiene respaldo metodológico absoluto y bien pudiera estar totalmente distorsionada, siendo en la realidad incluso más baja.

Además, el número de patentes otorgadas anualmente en Chile a solicitantes nacionales bordea las 50, en tanto la cifra de patentes otorgadas en Estados Unidos a chilenos no supera las 15 al año. Al respecto, cabe señalar que el sistema de patentamiento Chileno resulta bastante engorroso y muchas veces frente a la disyuntiva de protección resulta mejor patentar provisoriamente en Estados Unidos.

En cuanto a los recursos humanos especializados, el año 2003, por ejemplo, nuestras universidades produjeron 104 doctores en ciencias y 13 en ingenierías, lo que resulta absolutamente insuficiente para sostener un esfuerzo permanente en I & D + i”. Cabe señalar que muchos de estos recursos humanos no encuentran en Chile posibilidades de desarrollar sus proyectos con lo que existe actualmente un desalineamiento total entre las políticas de desarrollo de capital humano y las políticas de reinserción de dicho capital humano en empresas o para financiamiento de proyectos autónomos en Chile.

Ahora bien, la pregunta es: ¿ Las bellas medidas anunciadas… ubi sunt? Resuena en el fondo de mi cabeza una bella melodía italiana: parole…parole…parole…

Segundo Informe CNIC

El segundo informe de Marzo 2007 esboza en forma un poco más acuciosa, dado que utiliza un lenguaje económico, una visión estratégica hacia el futuro, focalizando distintas áreas con objetivos concretos y líneas de acción, verbigracia: capital humano, ciencia, empresas, cultura e institucionalidad, regiones e infraestructura. Este esfuerzo bien pudo realizarse en el primer informe; es decir un año antes. Como valor agregado, el segundo informe presenta un interesante estudio de Clusters, preparado por una empresa consultora con un costo altísimo y a mi juicio injustificado.

Ahora bien, leyendo el detalle y conociendo el trasfondo y literatura sobre el tema, uno se da cuenta inmediatamente que en su contenido material el segundo informe presentado contiene varios “copy & paste” de diferentes fuentes y estudios emanados de la OECD, EU, USA, Nueva Zelanda y Australia, los que fueron traducidos y adaptados a la realidad Chilena.

Es decir, el segundo informe en su mayor parte contiene una aplicación de ideas matrices, todas las cuales corresponden a discusiones que se encuentran en la literatura comparada y cualquier experto que haya estudiado los documentos en los cuales se basaron para elaborar el segundo informe puede rastrear en la fuente.

¿Qué hay de nuevo viejo?

Dejando atrás estos dos informes, si el objeto es mejorar el impacto de las políticas públicas en materia de I & D + i es necesario realizar un levantamiento de buenas prácticas a nivel mundial y plantear soluciones concretas (TMS taylor made solutions) para la realidad Chilena.

De conversaciones recientes con altos funcionarios surge la inquietud de comentar que no se puede pretender una bien intencionada meta pero que está alejada de la realidad-país y con mucho marketing político, como: “Traer a Silicon Valley a Chile para permitir el spill over a empresas nacionales; y/o “Transformar a Chile en el Hub de Servicios Tecnológicos de Latinoamérica”. Dichos slogans no se implementan sin las políticas que vayan en la dirección de coordinación institucional y de implementación de los mecanismos de incentivo sistémicos adecuados. Definitivamente, la institucionalidad, el volumen de capital humano, el nivel de I & D + i que realizan los Laboratorios, Universidades, las LMEs y SMEs, la cantidad de recursos financieros y acervo cultural de California no es comparable con el valle central de Chile, por mucho que tengamos similares condiciones geográficas y climáticas. Planteado así, creo que resulta inconveniente un esquema neo-tecnológico a la “Stanford Boys” importado directamente y sin filtros, tal como resultó inconveniente la implantación neoliberal de los “Chicago Boys” en materia económica.

En síntesis, se trata de buscar un diseño para la realidad con el objeto de solucionar un grave problema actual, a saber: la baja inversión en I & D + i (Investigación y Desarrollo e Innovación) del sector público y del sector privado, que redunde en mejores niveles de C & T (Ciencia y Tecnología) al mediano y largo plazo en nuestro país. Como muestra la tendencia que consta en numerosos estudios internacionales recientemente publicados, si este problema no se soluciona adecuadamente, tendrá graves repercusiones en la competitividad del Chile con respecto a otras economías emergentes.

En las próximas líneas voy a esbozar en forma muy sucinta el marco de una propuesta de reforma del sistema de incentivos, la que resume el estado del conocimiento actual en la materia. Este es un marco técnico e implica bastante know how tributario, por lo que requeriría de una explicación acabada que excede largamente el ámbito de la información que se puede ofrecer en este medio.

Como prevención cabe señalar que estas ideas no atacan otro problema que es la duplicación de funciones institucional que existe en Chile respecto de programas que se encuentran desenfocados.

1. Alineamiento del SIN con la Politica Fiscal de I & D

El Sistema de Innovación Nacional (SIN) debe contar con una adecuada coordinación entre la Política Nacional de Infraestructura para I & D + i, la Política Nacional de Educación para I & D y la Política Fiscal para I & D, que le permitan: a) generar mayores niveles de inversión interna y extranjera en infraestructura tecnológica (activos fijos); b) permitir la creación, desarrollo y aplicación de intangibles (propiedad intelectual); y c) permitir la capacitación de recursos humanos laboralmente y económicamente competitivos que trabajen en Chile, disminuyendo la posibilidad de brain drain mediante la potenciación de proyectos nacionales de nivel mundial.

2. Policy Mix de Instrumentos Fiscales de I & D + i

Un adecuado enfoque requiere como punto de partida la coordinación adecuada de los instrumentos de política fiscal de subsidiación directa, conjuntamente con los incentivos tributarios indirectos. Lo anterior, por cuanto se requiere una coordinación entre los niveles de recursos fiscales que se entregan por la vía de ayudas directas (fiscal grants – fiscal aids) y los niveles de recursos fiscales que se otorgan por la vía del gastos fiscal (public expenditures – revenue forgone). De tal forma, los emprendimientos debieran tener la opción de complementar una u otra vía, las que deben estar necesariamente coordinadas, para evitar abusos fiscales que terminen en un “hoyo negro”.

Con respecto a la política fiscal de implementar mecanismos de incentivos directos e indirectos, se debe discutir un policy mix que comprenda al menos 3 instrumentos fiscales adecuados para solucionar el problema. Es indispensable discutir la posibilidad de introducir al menos 3 mecanismos que ataquen el problema de I & D + i desde tres ángulos fundamentales, a saber: a) inversión extranjera neta en I & D (foreign investment R & D net inflow); b) inversión local en infraestructura I & D + i (local investment in R & D fixed and intangible assets); e c) inversión en recursos humanos I & D (local investment in human resources). Un cuadro con ideas matrices al respecto se resume en lo siguiente:


Cristián Gárate (Piano, Flauta Traversa, Canto) en el Meson Nerudiano con el grupo Batida Diferente.










1 Incentivos Fiscales Directos (Subsidiación)
1.1 Financiamiento Start Ups - Spin Offs R & D +i
1.2 Financiamiento Capital Humano
1.3 Financiamiento Transferencia Tecnológica (tangibles e intangibles)

2. Instrumentos Indirectos Fiscales
2.1. No específicos
2.2.1 Aportes y Enajenación IP
2.1.2 Tratamiento Utilidades
2.1.3 Depreciación Acelerada
2.1.4 Gastos I & D
2.2 Específicos
2.2.1Contrato Ley I & D
2.2.2 Superdeducción Gasto
2.2.3 Crédito Tributario
2.2.4 Incentivo Remuneración
2.2.5 Calificación Proyectos Colaborativos, Verdes, Capital Humano Avanzado.

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